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Red240
6867146.6
4976142.7
1334127.5
Blue205
4039165.4
4618178.7
3683160.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2284020100200300500600240205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.61.3
129.8131.1
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
blue by 32.1
4618
#13
178.70.2
180.3180.5
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Second
4976
#15
142.70.3
152.4152.0
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
blue by 22.8
4039
#12
165.40.3
156.4156.7
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Third
1334
#14
127.50.7
127.3126.6
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
blue by 32.7
3683
#11
160.31.2
168.6167.4
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed