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Red311
4939130.0
1334127.5
4039165.4
Blue426
1075110.7
3683160.3
2702173.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593200100200400500600311426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#12
165.40.7
156.7155.9
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
blue by 8.4
173.81.5
158.4159.9
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
130.01.3
125.3124.0
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
blue by 30.3
3683
#11
160.31.9
167.4165.5
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
1334
#14
127.51.0
126.6125.7
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
red by 16.9
1075
#10
110.71.5
112.9111.4
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed