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Red390
2852137.3
6070134.4
4618178.7
Blue211
1241202.9
571992.5
1310151.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28432505001,0001,5002,0002,500390211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
178.70.8
180.5179.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
blue by 24.2
202.91.0
218.1217.0
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
2852
#18
137.30.1
141.6141.5
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
blue by 14.7
151.90.7
153.2152.5
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
Third
134.41.1
123.2124.3
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
red by 42.0
5719
#17
92.50.5
93.994.3
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed