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Red447
4976142.7
6867146.6
2702173.8
Blue314
1374109.2
4039165.4
3571100.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3891980100300500600700447314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.82.0
159.9161.9
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
red by 8.4
4039
#12
165.40.1
155.9155.8
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Second
146.60.6
131.1131.8
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
red by 37.4
1374
#16
109.20.1
106.1106.1
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
Third
4976
#15
142.70.6
152.0151.4
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
red by 42.1
3571
#19
100.62.3
102.6100.4
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned1%Face the Boss oddsMissed