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Red211
6070134.4
1334127.5
4039165.4
Blue277
4992142.9
4618178.7
1374109.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33230102004006008001,0001,2001,400211277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#12
165.42.0
169.4167.4
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
blue by 13.3
4618
#13
178.71.9
187.3185.4
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Second
134.40.9
127.7128.6
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
blue by 8.4
142.90.7
138.5137.8
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Third
1334
#14
127.51.5
153.3151.8
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
red by 18.3
1374
#16
109.23.0
121.7118.8
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed