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Red353
3683160.3
1075110.7
5406185.4
Blue254
1374109.2
4992142.9
571992.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3951760100300500600700353254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.5
184.6185.1
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 42.5
142.91.7
126.4128.1
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
3683
#11
160.30.7
165.5164.8
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
red by 51.1
1374
#16
109.20.7
106.1106.8
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
Third
1075
#10
110.70.5
111.4110.9
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
red by 18.2
5719
#17
92.50.3
94.394.6
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed