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Red288
4039165.4
4618178.7
2852137.3
Blue418
1241202.9
1334127.5
6867146.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353090100200400500288418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
178.70.1
179.5179.6
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
blue by 24.2
202.93.3
215.5212.2
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
4039
#12
165.40.7
155.8156.5
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
red by 18.8
146.61.7
133.1134.8
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Third
2852
#18
137.31.7
141.9140.2
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
red by 9.7
1334
#14
127.50.0
125.4125.4
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed