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Red415
1374109.2
4976142.7
1310151.9
Blue245
3571100.6
4939130.0
4992142.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412330100200300400500600700415245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.90.3
151.3151.0
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
red by 9.1
142.91.8
128.1129.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
4976
#15
142.71.8
151.7149.9
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
red by 12.7
130.00.2
123.5123.7
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
Third
1374
#16
109.20.9
106.8107.8
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
red by 8.7
3571
#19
100.61.1
100.499.2
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed