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Red183
1075110.7
865198.0
3683160.3
Blue363
2702173.8
6070134.4
1241202.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903680100200400500600700183363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.02.3
186.2188.5
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
blue by 4.9
202.92.1
212.2210.1
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
3683
#11
160.30.8
164.8163.9
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
blue by 13.6
173.82.4
161.9164.4
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Third
1075
#10
110.70.7
110.9110.3
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
blue by 23.8
134.41.5
125.7127.2
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsEarned