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Red240
5406185.4
2702173.8
571992.5
Blue309
3683160.3
1310151.9
6070134.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305296100200400500600240309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.1
185.1185.3
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 25.1
3683
#11
160.31.9
163.9162.1
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Second
173.82.4
164.4166.7
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
red by 21.9
151.90.0
151.0151.0
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
Third
5719
#17
92.50.7
94.695.3
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 42.0
134.41.6
127.2128.8
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed