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Red299
4039165.4
2702173.8
1310151.9
Blue389
865198.0
1075110.7
4618178.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335328250300350400450299389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.81.2
166.7168.0
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
blue by 24.2
865
#2
198.01.4
189.5190.9
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
4039
#12
165.41.3
157.2158.6
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
blue by 13.3
4618
#13
178.70.0
179.7179.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
Third
151.90.2
151.0150.7
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
red by 41.3
1075
#10
110.70.7
108.7108.0
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed