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Red309
1241202.9
1374109.2
4976142.7
Blue331
2852137.3
4992142.9
3571100.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792350100200300500600700309331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.91.0
209.6208.7
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 60.0
142.92.2
132.4134.6
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
4976
#15
142.70.9
148.3147.4
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
red by 5.4
2852
#18
137.30.9
138.9138.1
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
Third
1374
#16
109.20.9
108.7109.7
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
red by 8.7
3571
#19
100.60.3
98.899.1
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed