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Red500
4939130.0
5406185.4
4039165.4
Blue314
1075110.7
6070134.4
3683160.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582300100300400500600700500314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.3
184.6184.3
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
red by 25.1
3683
#11
160.31.1
159.9158.7
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Second
4039
#12
165.40.7
158.9159.6
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
red by 31.0
134.40.7
129.8130.6
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Third
130.00.5
124.4124.9
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
red by 19.3
1075
#10
110.70.2
108.0107.8
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed