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Red447
865198.0
2702173.8
3571100.6
Blue194
4992142.9
1334127.5
4976142.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872650100200300500600700447194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.01.6
190.9192.5
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 55.1
142.92.8
134.6137.4
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
173.80.9
168.2169.1
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
red by 31.1
4976
#15
142.70.8
147.4146.6
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
Third
3571
#19
100.61.2
99.1100.2
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
blue by 27.0
1334
#14
127.50.4
126.5126.8
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed