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Red407
3683160.3
4992142.9
1241202.9
Blue287
6867146.6
4039165.4
2852137.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37228402006008001,000407287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.92.1
207.9205.7
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 37.5
4039
#12
165.41.7
159.6161.3
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Second
3683
#11
160.30.3
158.7158.5
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
red by 13.7
146.62.1
141.2143.3
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Third
142.91.6
137.4139.0
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
red by 5.6
2852
#18
137.30.6
138.4137.8
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed