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Red192
1374109.2
4618178.7
6070134.4
Blue357
1310151.9
2702173.8
1334127.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953530200400600800192357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
178.70.6
180.0180.6
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
red by 4.9
173.81.5
170.1171.6
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
Second
134.41.7
131.8133.5
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
blue by 17.5
151.90.0
150.1150.1
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
Third
1374
#16
109.20.3
110.4110.1
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
blue by 18.3
1334
#14
127.50.4
126.6127.0
Auto15.7
Teleop99.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed