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Red381
2702173.8
4618178.7
571992.5
Blue217
3571100.6
4992142.9
6867146.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732480100200300500600700800381217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
178.71.4
185.4184.1
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
red by 32.1
146.61.4
134.3132.9
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Second
173.80.7
158.6159.3
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
red by 31.0
142.90.5
137.8137.4
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Third
5719
#17
92.52.1
110.4108.3
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 8.1
3571
#19
100.61.4
126.7125.3
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed