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Red298
1310151.9
865198.0
1374109.2
Blue150
5406185.4
4039165.4
4976142.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533970100200300500600700298150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#2
198.01.5
191.6190.1
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 12.6
185.43.0
213.6210.6
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Second
1310
#4Sur
151.90.2
152.6152.4
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
blue by 13.5
4039
#12
165.42.7
167.4164.7
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Third
1374
#16
109.22.3
118.8116.5
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
blue by 33.5
4976
#15
142.72.1
180.6178.6
Auto14.3
Teleop115.9
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed73%Face the Boss oddsMissed