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Red299
1374109.2
6867146.6
1310151.9
Blue283
865198.0
3683160.3
4939130.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424060200600800299283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.91.0
150.3151.3
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
blue by 46.1
865
#2
198.01.7
196.0197.7
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
146.61.1
145.0146.2
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
blue by 13.7
3683
#11
160.31.3
158.8160.1
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
1374
#16
109.20.1
108.9109.1
Auto17.0
Teleop82.6
End8.9
blue by 20.8
130.01.1
128.6129.8
Auto16.3
Teleop91.1
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed