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Red162
3571100.6
4618178.7
1241202.9
Blue455
4039165.4
6070134.4
5406185.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311337100200400500162455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.91.0
204.5203.5
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 17.5
185.40.1
184.4184.5
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Second
4618
#13
178.70.4
180.1179.7
Auto21.5
Teleop139.1
End16.6
red by 13.3
4039
#12
165.41.3
162.8164.1
Auto26.8
Teleop125.8
End15.8
Third
3571
#19
100.60.5
101.1100.6
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
blue by 33.9
134.40.4
133.5133.9
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned