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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Fall Fiesta Varsity
Red455
1325208.4
1305213.2
4343146.1
Blue323
3683160.3
6378163.4
1241202.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4103100100200500600700455323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
Unranked
213.20.0
213.2213.2
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
red by 10.3
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
1325
Unranked
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 45.0
6378
Unranked
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
blue by 14.2
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8