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Red215
1325208.4
1305213.2
4343146.1
Blue433
188176.7
610231.5
998760.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41131902006008001,000215433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
Unranked
213.20.0
213.2213.2
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
blue by 18.3
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
1325
Unranked
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 31.7
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
Third
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
red by 86.0
9987
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9