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Red165
1075110.7
1241202.9
1285153.9
Blue372
865198.0
6867146.6
3683160.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25940402006008001,000165372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 4.9
865
Unranked
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
1285
Unranked
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
blue by 6.4
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
1075
Unranked
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
blue by 36.0
6867
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds20%Face the Boss odds