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Red309
188176.7
5834129.1
2935134.2
Blue221
4476192.2
6336125.2
1325208.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624230200600800309221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
blue by 31.7
1325
Unranked
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
2935
Unranked
134.20.0
134.2134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
blue by 58.0
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Third
5834
Unranked
129.10.0
129.1129.1
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
red by 4.0
6336
Unranked
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds17%Face the Boss odds