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Red400
4476192.2
5596159.2
6378163.4
Blue233
3683160.3
1305213.2
1246157.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34138202006008001,000400233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
blue by 21.0
1305
Unranked
213.20.0
213.2213.2
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
Second
6378
Unranked
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
red by 3.1
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
5596
Unranked
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
red by 1.9
1246
Unranked
157.30.0
157.3157.3
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest odds81%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds40%Face the Boss odds