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Red222
1325208.4
998760.1
907151.6
Blue300
4678192.8
4343146.1
1241202.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31836702006008001,000222300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
Unranked
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 5.5
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
907
Unranked
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
blue by 41.2
4678
Unranked
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
9987
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 86.0
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss odds32%Face the Boss odds