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Red263
6867146.6
1305213.2
4343146.1
Blue374
610231.5
188176.7
6378163.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32841002006008001,000263374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
Unranked
213.20.0
213.2213.2
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
blue by 18.3
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
6867
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
blue by 30.1
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
Third
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
blue by 17.3
6378
Unranked
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss odds64%Face the Boss odds