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Red361
5596159.2
1325208.4
6632137.3
Blue214
907151.6
865198.0
1075110.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38531102006008001,000361214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
Unranked
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 10.4
865
Unranked
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
5596
Unranked
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
red by 7.6
907
Unranked
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
Third
6632
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
red by 26.6
1075
Unranked
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest odds55%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds