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Red250
1241202.9
6336125.2
610231.5
Blue440
998760.1
6378163.4
2708179.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202720200600800250440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
red by 52.0
2708
Unranked
179.50.0
179.5179.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.5
End18.6
Second
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 39.5
6378
Unranked
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
6336
Unranked
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
red by 65.0
9987
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds