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Red243
865198.0
5031131.7
188176.7
Blue273
2706179.6
3683160.3
1310151.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351334100200300400500600700243273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
Unranked
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 18.4
2706
Unranked
179.60.0
179.6179.6
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
Second
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
red by 16.5
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
5031
Unranked
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
blue by 20.2
1310
Unranked
151.90.0
151.9151.9
Auto21.9
Teleop114.3
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest odds71%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds