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Red235
6135116.6
6140116.3
9986108.9
Blue291
571992.5
6975104.1
4914138.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25128805001,0001,500235291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#10
116.60.0
116.6116.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.7
End9.2
blue by 22.0
138.60.0
138.6138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
Second
6140
#26
116.30.0
116.3116.3
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End17.0
red by 12.1
6975
#14
104.10.0
104.1104.1
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
Third
9986
#20
108.90.0
108.9108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
red by 16.4
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds36%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds