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Red278
998760.1
4951119.1
5921110.3
Blue224
771105.6
4992142.9
4015101.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25831004006008001,0001,2001,400278224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.10.0
119.1119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
blue by 23.8
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
5921
#22
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
red by 4.6
771
#24
105.60.0
105.6105.6
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 41.6
4015
#25
101.80.0
101.8101.8
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest odds47%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds