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Red401
4914138.6
5036170.4
697789.9
Blue326
5921110.3
4308136.4
5428148.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462980100200400500600700401326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.40.0
170.4170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
red by 21.9
5428
#21
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
Second
138.60.0
138.6138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
red by 2.2
4308
#15
136.40.0
136.4136.4
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
Third
6977
#12
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
blue by 20.3
5921
#22
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds64%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds