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Red394
6110149.5
4152123.8
4992142.9
Blue194
571992.5
865198.0
771105.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308302200250350400450394194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.50.0
149.5149.5
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
blue by 48.5
865
#18
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Second
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
red by 37.2
771
#24
105.60.0
105.6105.6
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
Third
4152
#13
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End19.4
red by 31.4
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds66%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds