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Red179
6975104.1
6141112.3
5428148.5
Blue309
4951119.1
5036170.4
571992.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23733404006008001,000179309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#21
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
blue by 21.9
170.40.0
170.4170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Second
6141
#16
112.30.0
112.3112.3
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
blue by 6.8
119.10.0
119.1119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
Third
6975
#14
104.10.0
104.1104.1
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
red by 11.7
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds