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Red262
4992142.9
998760.1
3571100.6
Blue233
4152123.8
6135116.6
746112.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172720100200400500600700800262233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
red by 19.0
4152
#13
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End19.4
Second
100.60.0
100.6100.6
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
blue by 16.0
6135
#10
116.60.0
116.6116.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.7
End9.2
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 52.3
746
#3
112.50.0
112.5112.5
Auto17.1
Teleop83.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest odds66%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds