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Qual 42018 Fall Fiesta Junior
Red328
5031131.7
746112.5
4992142.9
Blue133
5036170.4
4015101.8
4308136.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336326150200250300400450500328133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9→142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
blue by 27.6
5036
#5
170.40.0
170.4→170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Second
5031
#17
131.70.0
131.7→131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
blue by 4.7
4308
#15
136.40.0
136.4→136.4
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
Third
746
#3
112.50.0
112.5→112.5
Auto17.1
Teleop83.4
End11.1
red by 10.7
4015
#25
101.80.0
101.8→101.8
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds