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Red350
3571100.6
571992.5
6135116.6
Blue291
2634146.9
5921110.3
6070134.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1853760100300500600700800350291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#10
116.60.0
116.6116.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.7
End9.2
blue by 30.3
2634
#23
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Second
100.60.0
100.6100.6
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
blue by 33.9
134.40.0
134.4134.4
Auto19.5
Teleop104.3
End12.5
Third
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 17.8
5921
#22
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest odds63%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds