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Red492
1325201.7
2200177.4
2935134.2
Blue293
4992142.0
5409132.5
6323155.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445280100200400500600700492293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.0
201.7201.6
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
red by 46.0
6323
#19
155.60.3
155.0155.4
Auto19.6
Teleop111.9
End25.3
Second
177.40.3
175.8176.2
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
red by 35.3
4992
#17
142.00.1
142.3142.2
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
Third
2935
#38
134.20.2
135.0134.8
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
red by 1.7
5409
#11
132.50.1
132.3132.4
Auto17.2
Teleop96.8
End17.0