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Red346
1325201.7
2200177.4
2935134.2
Blue392
5406196.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543830100200300500600700346392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.0
201.7201.7
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
red by 5.3
196.30.2
195.6195.8
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
Second
177.40.3
177.1177.4
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
blue by 11.7
189.10.1
188.7188.8
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Third
2935
#38
134.20.1
134.4134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
red by 4.1
4308
#26
130.10.0
130.1130.1
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4