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Red502
1325201.7
2200177.4
2935134.2
Blue278
5406196.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3473910100200300500600700502278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.1
201.7201.7
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
red by 5.3
196.30.4
195.3195.6
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
Second
177.40.2
176.9177.1
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
blue by 11.7
189.10.2
188.5188.7
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Third
2935
#38
134.20.2
134.6134.4
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
red by 4.1
4308
#26
130.10.1
129.9130.1
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4