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Red449
5406196.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
Blue292
4618173.4
3560117.3
2609158.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417297100200500600449292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.30.2
194.5194.7
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
red by 22.9
4618
#22
173.40.1
173.2173.4
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Second
189.10.1
188.2188.2
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
red by 30.5
2609
#16
158.60.2
158.2158.4
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
Third
4308
#26
130.10.1
129.9129.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
red by 12.8
3560
#10
117.30.7
115.9116.6
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9