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Red496
5406196.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
Blue205
4618173.4
3560117.3
2609158.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422293100200500600496205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.30.3
194.7194.9
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
red by 22.9
4618
#22
173.40.1
173.4173.4
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Second
189.10.1
188.2188.3
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
red by 30.5
2609
#16
158.60.2
158.4158.6
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
Third
4308
#26
130.10.0
129.9129.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
red by 12.8
3560
#10
117.30.6
116.6117.3
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9