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Red388
3161154.7
4069127.8
3571126.6
Blue246
2935134.2
188152.6
3560117.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244316100200400500388246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#15
154.71.0
139.1140.1
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
red by 2.1
188
#8
152.61.1
149.0150.1
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
Second
127.80.4
104.8104.4
Auto19.4
Teleop90.1
End20.7
blue by 6.5
2935
#38
134.20.7
125.2125.9
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Third
3571
#35
126.60.6
120.5121.2
Auto15.4
Teleop98.8
End15.6
red by 9.4
3560
#10
117.31.1
99.0100.1
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed