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Red339
2200177.4
4039168.8
5409132.5
Blue235
6342133.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390304100200500600339235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.42.4
164.9167.3
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
blue by 11.7
189.11.3
179.0180.3
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Second
168.80.4
184.7185.1
Auto26.9
Teleop132.0
End7.7
red by 35.6
6342
#31
133.30.9
135.4134.5
Auto20.0
Teleop98.3
End13.6
Third
5409
#11
132.50.5
124.9125.4
Auto17.2
Teleop96.8
End17.0
red by 2.4
4308
#26
130.10.9
132.1131.3
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed