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Red459
6130126.7
1241230.0
4308130.1
Blue276
2200177.4
4519118.6
4618173.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359365250300400450500459276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.01.2
220.9222.1
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End31.2
red by 52.6
177.41.6
172.4174.0
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
Second
4308
#26
130.10.4
129.9129.6
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
blue by 43.3
4618
#22
173.41.2
169.3170.5
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Third
6130
#37
126.70.2
132.2131.9
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
red by 8.1
4519
#28
118.60.5
120.5120.9
Auto17.6
Teleop88.3
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned