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Red284
6537121.0
3571126.6
4992142.0
Blue261
4902103.3
5406196.3
6632134.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273367100200400500600284261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#17
142.00.7
141.5142.2
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
blue by 54.3
196.30.5
196.8197.3
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
Second
3571
#35
126.61.0
125.9126.9
Auto15.4
Teleop98.8
End15.6
blue by 7.4
6632
#24
134.01.2
128.8129.9
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End16.1
Third
6537
#29
121.00.5
117.0117.5
Auto17.9
Teleop90.9
End12.8
red by 17.7
4902
#36
103.31.2
104.7106.0
Auto16.3
Teleop77.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed50%Face the Boss oddsMissed