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Red509
3560117.3
4069127.8
5921110.3
Blue248
6878122.0
5409132.5
6342133.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433380100200300400500600509248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.82.0
108.5110.4
Auto19.4
Teleop90.1
End20.7
blue by 5.5
6342
#31
133.30.0
132.8132.8
Auto20.0
Teleop98.3
End13.6
Second
3560
#10
117.31.4
103.4104.7
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9
blue by 15.3
5409
#11
132.50.9
127.1128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop96.8
End17.0
Third
5921
#18
110.31.3
115.5114.2
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
blue by 11.8
6878
#25
122.00.2
116.7116.9
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed