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Red275
4976189.1
5921110.3
6070119.8
Blue187
3560117.3
4519118.6
5699102.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359239100200300400500600275187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.10.7
186.2186.9
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
red by 70.5
4519
#28
118.60.1
120.9121.1
Auto17.6
Teleop88.3
End11.7
Second
6070
#12
119.80.3
117.5117.8
Auto18.6
Teleop89.4
End13.0
red by 2.5
3560
#10
117.32.2
104.7106.9
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9
Third
5921
#18
110.30.0
114.2114.2
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
red by 7.4
5699
#23
102.81.4
109.8108.4
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed