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Red281
6323155.6
6342133.3
6130126.7
Blue485
4932126.6
4976189.1
188152.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282388100200500600281485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6323
#19
155.60.0
155.4155.4
Auto19.6
Teleop111.9
End25.3
blue by 33.4
189.10.5
187.1186.6
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Second
6342
#31
133.30.2
132.7132.5
Auto20.0
Teleop98.3
End13.6
blue by 19.4
188
#8
152.61.6
151.8150.2
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
Third
6130
#37
126.70.6
132.3131.7
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
red by 0.1
4932
#34
126.60.1
126.2126.1
Auto17.1
Teleop89.2
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed